Algeria Ligue 1 Β· Β·Matchday 8

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar

Garuda Lions Prediction: JS Kabylie

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.93.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

JS Kabylie 65%
Draw 21%
JS El Biar 14%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance JS Kabylie wins
65%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJS KabylieDrawJS El Biar
Model65.0%21.0%14.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final65.0%21.0%14.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why JS Kabylie

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar match preview

JS Kabylie enters the match against JS El Biar with a strong probability of winning at 65%, while a draw is forecasted at 21% and JS El Biar at 14%. The expected goals for JS Kabylie stand at 2.19, significantly higher than JS El Biar's 0.93, indicating a potential for a dominant performance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at an 11% likelihood.

Recent form suggests that JS Kabylie has been more consistent, with a record of W-D-W-L-W-D, compared to JS El Biar's D-W-L-D-W-L. Additionally, there is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams scoring has a 55% probability. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

JS Kabylie ↓ / JS El Biar β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

JS Kabylie and JS El Biar expected goals

JS Kabylie 2.19
JS El Biar 0.93

Total expected goals: 3.12

JS Kabylie and JS El Biar attack and defence ratings

JS Kabylie

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.79 -21%

JS El Biar

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 JS Kabylie 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 54.8% 1.82 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.0% 1.16 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 JS Kabylie win 42.4% 2.36 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2JS Kabylie65.0%
Draw21.0%
JS El Biar14.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.8%
No45.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.0%
12 (either side)79.0%
X2 (draw or away)35.0%
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win42.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss35.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.5%
1-19.9%
2-19.9%

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar stats

JS Kabylie and JS El Biar recent form

newest first
JS Kabylie WDWLWD
JS El Biar DWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

JS Kabylie and JS El Biar season so far

league record

JS Kabylie record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

JS El Biar record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 JS Kabylie Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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