Khenchela
vs
Témouchent
Garuda Lions Prediction: Khenchela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.54.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Khenchela vs Témouchent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Khenchela vs Témouchent
| Probability | Khenchela | Draw | Témouchent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 28.1% | 11.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.1% | 28.1% | 11.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Khenchela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Khenchela vs Témouchent match preview
Khenchela is favored to win against Témouchent with a 60% probability according to our model, while a draw stands at 28% and Témouchent at 12%. The expected goals for Khenchela are 1.32, compared to Témouchent's 0.54. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 19% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Khenchela has recorded a mixed set of results with a sequence of L-W-L-D-D-W, whereas Témouchent's recent performances show a D-L-L-W-L-D record. Both teams to score and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals are both at 32%, indicating a potentially low-scoring match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Khenchela and Témouchent expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
Khenchela and Témouchent attack and defence ratings
Khenchela
Témouchent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Khenchela vs Témouchent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 60.1% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Témouchent | 11.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.4% |
| No | 67.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Khenchela win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.7% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.0% |
| 2-0 | 14.9% | |
| 0-0 | 14.5% |
Khenchela vs Témouchent stats
Khenchela and Témouchent recent form
| Khenchela |
LWLDDW |
| Témouchent |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Khenchela and Témouchent season so far
Khenchela record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Témouchent record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.