ES Setif
vs
MB Rouisset
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Setif
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.73.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Setif vs MB Rouisset
| Probability | ES Setif | Draw | MB Rouisset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 31.1% | 19.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 31.1% | 19.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Setif
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.73.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset match preview
ES Setif faces MB Rouisset in an upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match, with our model giving ES Setif a 49% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 31% and MB Rouisset at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a probability of 16%. The expected goals are 1.20 for ES Setif and 0.73 for MB Rouisset, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, ES Setif has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while MB Rouisset has three wins, one loss, and one additional loss in their last five outings. The head-to-head record shows each team with one win in their last two encounters. Both teams to score is projected at 39%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Setif and MB Rouisset expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.93
ES Setif and MB Rouisset attack and defence ratings
ES Setif
MB Rouisset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 49.4% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| MB Rouisset | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.3% |
| No | 60.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset stats
ES Setif and MB Rouisset recent form
| ES Setif |
DDWLLW |
| MB Rouisset |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Setif and MB Rouisset season so far
ES Setif record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
MB Rouisset record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | ES Setif | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | MB Rouisset | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.