Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 7

ES Setif vs Témouchent

1 – 2 Full time

15′M. Zaalouk
20′M. H. Hedroug
25′K. Baaziz
44′A. Meddah
46′D. Hassen KhodjaA. A. Bouneqab
46′M. BoukermaM. Hamek
58′M. H. HedrougM. Itim
67′I. SaihiG. Wael
67′L. TabtiM. Zerrouki
80′ES Setif
83′B. Boubaker
84′B. Boubaker
87′M. OmfiaI. Bouchagoura
87′Témouchent
90′R. Benayad
ES Setif 65%
Draw 24%
Témouchent 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ES Setif vs Témouchent overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ES Setif vs Témouchent

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityES SetifDrawTémouchent
Model62.7%26.2%11.0%
Market66.0%23.7%10.3%
Final65.2%24.4%10.5%
Edge-0.8%+0.6%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why ES Setif

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.54.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ES Setif ↓ / Témouchent → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 18% 11% 2 15% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

ES Setif and Témouchent expected goals

ES Setif 1.61
Témouchent 0.54

Total expected goals: 2.14

ES Setif and Témouchent attack and defence ratings

ES Setif

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Témouchent

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ES Setif vs Témouchent: result vs prediction

ES Setif 1 – 2 Témouchent

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

ES Setif vs Témouchent markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ES Setif 65.2% 1.53 -0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.5% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 37.4% 2.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ES Setif65.2%
Draw24.4%
Témouchent10.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.2%
Under 2.563.8%
Both teams to scoreYes34.1%
No65.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.5%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)34.8%
Handicap -1ES Setif win35.4%
Push (exactly one goal)27.2%
Loss37.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.9%
2-015.2%
0-012.8%

ES Setif vs Témouchent stats

ES Setif and Témouchent recent form

newest first
ES Setif DDWLLW
Témouchent DLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ES Setif and Témouchent going into this match

league record before kick-off

ES Setif record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Témouchent record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ES Setif vs Témouchent head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

ES Setif vs Témouchent odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.0%, draw 23.7%, away 10.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 3.78 9.35
Bet365 1.38 3.60 8.00
BetVictor 1.30 3.40 7.50
Betano 1.39 3.90 8.75
Betfair 1.36 3.90 8.50
Dafabet 1.39 4.10 8.60
Marathonbet 1.35 3.78 8.80
Pinnacle 1.37 4.02 10.15
William Hill 1.36 3.60 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.03
X 3.78 —
2 8.75 ▼ -0.38

3 snapshots recorded, from .