ES Setif
vs
Témouchent
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Setif
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
ES Setif vs Témouchent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Setif vs Témouchent
| Probability | ES Setif | Draw | Témouchent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.0% | 26.1% | 14.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.0% | 26.1% | 14.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Setif
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
ES Setif vs Témouchent match preview
ES Setif will face Témouchent in the Algeria Ligue 1 on October 10, 2026. The model assigns a 59% probability of a victory for ES Setif, while Témouchent has a 15% chance of winning, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for ES Setif are 1.68, compared to Témouchent's 0.73, suggesting a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, ES Setif has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Témouchent has one win, one loss, and one draw in their last three games. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Setif and Témouchent expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
ES Setif and Témouchent attack and defence ratings
ES Setif
Témouchent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
ES Setif vs Témouchent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 59.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Témouchent | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 41.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.1% |
ES Setif vs Témouchent stats
ES Setif and Témouchent recent form
| ES Setif |
DWLLWW |
| Témouchent |
WLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.