Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef

1 – 1 Full time

5′A. Meddah
53′M. H. Hedroug
54′M. H. Hedroug
61′K. Baaziz
66′K. AvotorZ. Motrani
69′O. Diakite
74′M. ZaaloukM. Itim
74′A. MeddahN. Merdja
84′I. SaihiA. Belkacemi
84′M. H. HedrougS. A. Aissaoui
89′O. DiakiteZ. Abdelli
89′E. LedlumM. Abboub
Témouchent 42%
Draw 32%
ASO Chlef 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Témouchent vs ASO Chlef

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTémouchentDrawASO Chlef
Model43.0%34.6%22.4%
Market41.0%31.5%27.5%
Final41.5%32.2%26.3%
Edge+0.5%+0.8%-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Témouchent

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Témouchent ↓ / ASO Chlef → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 10% 1 17% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Témouchent and ASO Chlef expected goals

Témouchent 1.09
ASO Chlef 0.71

Total expected goals: 1.80

Témouchent and ASO Chlef attack and defence ratings

Témouchent

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.04 +4%

ASO Chlef

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef: result vs prediction

Témouchent 1 – 1 ASO Chlef

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Témouchent 41.5% 2.41 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Témouchent41.5%
Draw32.2%
ASO Chlef26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.0%
Under 2.573.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.1%
No64.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Témouchent win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.8%
1-016.7%
1-114.1%

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef stats

Témouchent and ASO Chlef recent form

newest first
Témouchent LLWLD
ASO Chlef DLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Témouchent and ASO Chlef going into this match

league record before kick-off

Témouchent record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ASO Chlef record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 31.5%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 2.84 3.32
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 2.70 3.00
Marathonbet 2.19 2.84 3.24
Pinnacle 2.17 2.99 3.54
William Hill 2.25 2.80 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▲ +0.10
X 2.84 ▲ +0.01
2 3.25 ▼ -0.44

3 snapshots recorded, from .