Algeria Ligue 1
·
Postponed
·Matchday 6
Témouchent
vs
ASO Chlef
Garuda Lions Prediction: Témouchent
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Témouchent
56%
Draw
28%
ASO Chlef
15%
Chance Témouchent wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes
Témouchent vs ASO Chlef overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Témouchent vs ASO Chlef
| Probability | Témouchent | Draw | ASO Chlef |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.0% | 28.5% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.0% | 28.5% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Témouchent
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
14%
Témouchent and ASO Chlef expected goals
Témouchent
1.47
ASO Chlef
0.61
Total expected goals: 2.08
Témouchent and ASO Chlef attack and defence ratings
Témouchent
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.95 -5%
ASO Chlef
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Témouchent vs ASO Chlef markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Témouchent | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Témouchent | 56.0% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| ASO Chlef | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Témouchent win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 2-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Témouchent vs ASO Chlef stats
Témouchent and ASO Chlef recent form
| Témouchent |
WLD |
| ASO Chlef |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.