USM Alger
vs
JS Saoura
1 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | M. Bouderbala | ||
| 46′ | I. ChettiM. A. Gherbi | ||
| 46′ | O. BentalebC. Wayou | ||
| 57′ | K. DahamniE. I. Fettouhi N. | ||
| 60′ | A. Tra Bi Tra | ||
| 69′ | M. BouderbalaS. Radouani | ||
| 69′ | D. KamagateA. Khaldi | ||
| 69′ | F. BoulayaA. Benguit | ||
| 69′ | E. I. Fettouhi N.M. Belghanami | ||
| 73′ | M. A. Gherbi | ||
| 78′ | I. Azzi | ||
| 85′ | G. LikonzaC. Malone Junior | ||
| 87′ | O. AshirafO. Bouguerri | ||
| 87′ | I. AtallahM. Fenniri | ||
| 90′ | C. Wayou |
USM Alger vs JS Saoura overview
Garuda Lions analysis: USM Alger vs JS Saoura
| Probability | USM Alger | Draw | JS Saoura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.6% | 31.6% | 21.8% |
| Market | 60.5% | 25.7% | 13.8% |
| Final | 57.0% | 27.2% | 15.8% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +1.5% | +2.0% |
Why USM Alger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
USM Alger and JS Saoura expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
USM Alger and JS Saoura attack and defence ratings
USM Alger
JS Saoura
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
USM Alger vs JS Saoura: result vs prediction
USM Alger 1 – 0 JS Saoura
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
USM Alger vs JS Saoura markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 57.0% | 1.75 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 57.0% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| JS Saoura | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | USM Alger win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.9% |
USM Alger vs JS Saoura stats
USM Alger vs JS Saoura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Coupe Nationale | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-21 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | JS Saoura | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | JS Saoura | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-16 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-07 | JS Saoura | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-01-11 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-27 | JS Saoura | USM Alger | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-21 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-05 | USM Alger | JS Saoura | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
USM Alger vs JS Saoura odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.5%, draw 25.7%, away 13.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.48 | 6.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.30 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 3.45 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.48 | 6.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 3.75 | 7.45 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .