Garuda Lions
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Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

MC Oran vs ES Setif

0 – 0 Full time

4′I. Saadi
17′R. Boumechra
23′L. Tabti
53′M. Belkhir
63′Z. BenchaaR. Benayad
69′E. MatoutiY. Aliane
69′B. TraoreM. Abdelkader
69′A. BourdimC. Aoudjane
79′M. HamekI. Bouchagoura
83′I. SaadiA. Ghenam
84′J. AguiebO. Coumbassa
85′H. Al Hourani
88′M. SalifuS. Bouteldja
88′M. BelkhirA. Naim
MC Oran 45%
Draw 31%
ES Setif 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

MC Oran vs ES Setif overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MC Oran vs ES Setif

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMC OranDrawES Setif
Model46.4%28.2%25.4%
Market44.5%31.9%23.6%
Final45.0%31.0%24.1%
Edge+1.9%-3.7%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why MC Oran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.07.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MC Oran ↓ / ES Setif → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

MC Oran and ES Setif expected goals

MC Oran 1.52
ES Setif 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.59

MC Oran and ES Setif attack and defence ratings

MC Oran

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.92 -8%

ES Setif

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

MC Oran vs ES Setif: result vs prediction

MC Oran 0 – 0 ES Setif

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MC Oran vs ES Setif markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Oran 45.0% 2.22 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.3% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.5% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MC Oran45.0%
Draw31.0%
ES Setif24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.3%
No47.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.0%
Handicap -1MC Oran win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss53.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-010.3%
2-19.3%

MC Oran vs ES Setif stats

MC Oran and ES Setif recent form

newest first
MC Oran WWDLWW
ES Setif WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MC Oran vs ES Setif head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4MC Oran wins 2Draws 4ES Setif wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17ES SetifMC OranAlgeria Ligue 13-0
2025-11-20MC OranES SetifAlgeria Ligue 10-0
2025-04-18ES SetifMC OranLigue 11-0
2024-11-07MC OranES SetifLigue 11-0
2024-05-17MC OranES SetifLigue 14-1
2023-12-29ES SetifMC OranLigue 11-0
2023-07-04MC OranES SetifLigue 13-1
2022-11-29ES SetifMC OranLigue 14-0
2022-04-09ES SetifMC OranLigue 10-1
2021-11-19MC OranES SetifLigue 10-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

MC Oran vs ES Setif odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 31.9%, away 23.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 2.77 3.93
Bet365 1.95 2.88 4.20
BetVictor 1.87 2.63 3.50
Betano 2.12 2.92 3.65
Betfair 1.95 3.00 3.90
Dafabet 2.10 2.95 3.75
Marathonbet 2.02 2.77 3.82
Pinnacle 2.03 2.88 4.17
SBO 2.02 2.74 3.46
William Hill 2.05 2.75 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▲ +0.32
X 2.83 ▼ -0.29
2 3.81 ▼ -1.19

5 snapshots recorded, from .