Vitoria
vs
RB Bragantino
Garuda Lions Prediction: RB Bragantino
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — RB Bragantino is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitoria vs RB Bragantino
| Probability | Vitoria | Draw | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 28.8% | 41.6% |
| Market | 34.7% | 27.5% | 37.8% |
| Final | 33.4% | 27.9% | 38.8% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
Why RB Bragantino
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.58, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.0% per unit staked (our 38.8% × 2.58 − 1).
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino match preview
Vitoria faces RB Bragantino in a Brazil Serie A clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive matchup. Vitoria has a 33% chance of winning, while RB Bragantino is slightly favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.15 for Vitoria and 1.41 for RB Bragantino. Recent form shows Vitoria struggling with two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while RB Bragantino has been more consistent, securing three wins in the same period.
In terms of scoring, the model suggests a 53% likelihood that both teams will find the net, while there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. The head-to-head record favors RB Bragantino, who has won two of the last three encounters, while Vitoria has one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vitoria and RB Bragantino expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Vitoria and RB Bragantino attack and defence ratings
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 38.8% | 2.58 | +0.9% | 2.58 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitoria | 33.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| RB Bragantino | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | RB Bragantino win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino stats
Vitoria and RB Bragantino recent form
| Vitoria |
LLDDLW |
| RB Bragantino |
WWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitoria and RB Bragantino season so far
Vitoria record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | RB Bragantino | Vitoria | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-03 | RB Bragantino | Vitoria | Brazil Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Vitoria | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vitoria vs RB Bragantino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 27.5%, away 37.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.48 | 2.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.64 | 3.38 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.42 | 2.52 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 3.07 | 2.29 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .