Remo
vs
Chapecoense-sc
Garuda Lions Prediction: Remo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Remo is the favourite, not a value bet.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Remo vs Chapecoense-sc
| Probability | Remo | Draw | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 26.3% | 22.6% |
| Market | 56.0% | 23.7% | 20.3% |
| Final | 54.7% | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.7% | +0.6% |
Why Remo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.
Best available price on the pick: 1.71, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (our 54.7% × 1.71 − 1).
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc match preview
Remo is set to face Chapecoense-sc in their upcoming Brazil Serie A match, with a probability of 55% for a Remo victory, 24% for a draw, and 21% for a Chapecoense-sc win. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Remo, with an expected goals tally of 1.70 for Remo and 1.06 for Chapecoense-sc.
In terms of recent form, Remo has recorded one win, two losses, and three draws in their last six matches, while Chapecoense-sc has struggled with one win and five losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Remo with one win and two draws against Chapecoense-sc, who has yet to secure a victory in their last three encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Remo and Chapecoense-sc expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Remo and Chapecoense-sc attack and defence ratings
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 54.7% | 1.83 | -1.2% | 1.71 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 54.7% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Chapecoense-sc | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Remo win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.6% |
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc stats
Remo and Chapecoense-sc recent form
| Remo |
LWLDDD |
| Chapecoense-sc |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Remo and Chapecoense-sc season so far
Remo record
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chapecoense-sc record
- They have won 4 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Chapecoense-sc | Remo | Brazil Serie A | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Remo | Chapecoense-sc | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Chapecoense-sc | Remo | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 23.7%, away 20.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.06 | 4.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.60 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.69 | 4.25 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .