Palmeiras
vs
Remo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Palmeiras
1 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.42.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Palmeiras is the favourite, not a value bet.
Palmeiras vs Remo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Palmeiras vs Remo
| Probability | Palmeiras | Draw | Remo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.5% | 27.4% | 9.1% |
| Market | 77.6% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Final | 74.1% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +3.2% | +0.4% |
Why Palmeiras
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (our 74.1% × 1.24 − 1).
Palmeiras vs Remo match preview
Palmeiras enters the match against Remo with a strong probability of winning at 74%, while Remo's chances stand at just 8%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Palmeiras, with a 21% likelihood. Expected goals indicate a significant advantage for Palmeiras at 1.49 compared to Remo's 0.42.
In terms of recent form, Palmeiras has recorded two wins and a draw in their last three matches, while Remo has struggled, with one win and two draws in their last six games. The teams have faced each other once recently, resulting in a draw. Overall, the confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty despite the clear statistical advantage for Palmeiras.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Palmeiras and Remo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Palmeiras and Remo attack and defence ratings
Palmeiras
Remo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Palmeiras vs Remo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palmeiras | 74.1% | 1.35 | -3.5% | 1.24 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palmeiras | 74.1% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Remo | 8.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.3% |
| No | 72.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Palmeiras win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 36.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.2% |
| 2-0 | 16.5% | |
| 0-0 | 15.7% |
Palmeiras vs Remo stats
Palmeiras and Remo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Palmeiras and Remo season so far
Palmeiras record
- They have won 20 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Remo record
- They have won 5 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Palmeiras vs Remo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Remo | Palmeiras | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Palmeiras vs Remo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.6%, draw 14.8%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 6.41 | 12.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 6.80 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.95 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 6.52 | 11.49 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .