Remo
vs
Botafogo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Remo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Remo is the favourite, not a value bet.
Remo vs Botafogo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Remo vs Botafogo
| Probability | Remo | Draw | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 33.6% | 25.0% |
| Market | 37.2% | 26.7% | 36.1% |
| Final | 38.3% | 28.4% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +1.7% | -2.8% |
Why Remo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.81.
Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.5% per unit staked (our 38.3% × 2.60 − 1).
Remo vs Botafogo match preview
In this Brazil Serie A matchup, Remo faces Botafogo with a probability of 39% for a Remo win, 34% for Botafogo, and a 28% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Remo, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Remo and 0.85 for Botafogo. Recent form shows Remo struggling with three draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Botafogo has seen mixed results with two wins, two draws, and two losses.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34%, while both teams scoring is projected at 41%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Remo secured a victory, with a record of 1 win for Remo and none for Botafogo. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Remo and Botafogo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.93
Remo and Botafogo attack and defence ratings
Remo
Botafogo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Remo vs Botafogo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 38.3% | 2.61 | +1.0% | 2.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 38.3% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Botafogo | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Remo win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.8% |
| 1-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Remo vs Botafogo stats
Remo and Botafogo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Remo and Botafogo season so far
Remo record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Remo vs Botafogo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Botafogo | Remo | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Remo vs Botafogo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 26.7%, away 36.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .