Brazil Serie A · ·Matchday 32

Cruzeiro vs Remo

Garuda Lions Prediction: Cruzeiro

2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Cruzeiro 69%
Draw 19%
Remo 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Cruzeiro wins
69%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
52%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Cruzeiro vs Remo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cruzeiro vs Remo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCruzeiroDrawRemo
Model62.4%22.7%14.9%
Market70.6%18.4%11.0%
Final68.5%19.5%12.0%
Edge-8.1%+4.3%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Cruzeiro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Cruzeiro vs Remo match preview

Cruzeiro enters the match against Remo with a strong probability of winning at 69%, while Remo's chances stand at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Cruzeiro, with an expected goals tally of 2.01 for Cruzeiro compared to 0.89 for Remo. Recent form shows Cruzeiro with mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Remo has struggled significantly, drawing twice and losing four times.

The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55%, and both teams are predicted to score at a rate of 52%. In their last encounter, Cruzeiro secured a win against Remo, reinforcing their favorable head-to-head record, which stands at 1 win for Cruzeiro and 0 for Remo.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cruzeiro ↓ / Remo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Cruzeiro and Remo expected goals

Cruzeiro 2.01
Remo 0.89

Total expected goals: 2.90

Cruzeiro and Remo attack and defence ratings

Cruzeiro

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Remo

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Cruzeiro vs Remo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cruzeiro 68.5% 1.46 -8.1% 1.35
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.0% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Cruzeiro win 39.0% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cruzeiro68.5%
Draw19.5%
Remo12.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.0%
12 (either side)80.5%
X2 (draw or away)31.5%
Handicap -1Cruzeiro win39.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss37.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.1%
1-110.8%
1-010.1%

Cruzeiro vs Remo stats

Cruzeiro and Remo recent form

newest first
Cruzeiro LWWLWL
Remo DDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cruzeiro and Remo season so far

league record

Cruzeiro record

  • They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Remo record

  • They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cruzeiro vs Remo head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Cruzeiro wins 0Draws 0Remo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25RemoCruzeiroBrazil Serie A0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cruzeiro vs Remo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.6%, draw 18.4%, away 11.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 5.37 8.60
Bet365 1.33 5.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.30 5.25 8.50
Marathonbet 1.32 5.10 8.20
William Hill 1.33 4.80 8.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 —
X 5.10 —
2 8.50 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Cruzeiro Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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