Abha
vs
Al Kholood
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Kholood
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Abha vs Al Kholood overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al Kholood
| Probability | Abha | Draw | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 28.5% | 37.0% |
| Market | 33.7% | 27.7% | 38.6% |
| Final | 33.9% | 27.9% | 38.2% |
| Edge | +0.8% | +0.8% | -1.7% |
Why Al Kholood
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Abha vs Al Kholood match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, Abha will face Al Kholood with kickoff scheduled for October 19, 2026. According to our model, Abha has a 34% chance of winning, while Al Kholood is slightly favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 55% likelihood, and there is a 50% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Recent form indicates challenges for both teams, with Abha recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches, while Al Kholood has shown some improvement with two wins, three losses, and a draw in the same period. The expected goals for Abha stand at 1.30, while Al Kholood is projected at 1.36, reflecting a closely contested match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Abha and Al Kholood expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Abha and Al Kholood attack and defence ratings
Abha
Al Kholood
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Abha vs Al Kholood markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 38.2% | 2.62 | -1.7% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 33.9% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Al Kholood | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Kholood win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.2% |
Abha vs Al Kholood stats
Abha and Al Kholood recent form
| Abha |
LDLLLD |
| Al Kholood |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Abha and Al Kholood season so far
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Kholood record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Abha vs Al Kholood head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Abha vs Al Kholood odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 27.7%, away 38.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.43 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 3.28 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .