Al-Fayha
vs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ahli Jeddah
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Probability | Al-Fayha | Draw | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.4% | 19.1% | 69.4% |
| Market | 12.6% | 18.3% | 69.1% |
| Final | 12.3% | 18.5% | 69.2% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah match preview
In the upcoming match between Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah, the model indicates a strong advantage for Al-Ahli Jeddah, with a 66% probability of securing a victory. Al-Fayha has struggled recently, recording two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Al-Ahli Jeddah has shown more promise with three wins in their last six games. The expected goals suggest Al-Fayha will struggle to find the net, projected at 0.95, compared to Al-Ahli Jeddah's 2.26.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with a 10% likelihood, and there is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, both teams have a 56% probability of scoring, which indicates a potentially competitive encounter despite Al-Fayha's recent form.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah attack and defence ratings
Al-Fayha
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 69.2% | 1.45 | +0.3% | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 12.3% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 69.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah stats
Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form
| Al-Fayha |
LDDLDW |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah season so far
Al-Fayha record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Al-Fayha | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Fayha | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.4%, draw 17.9%, away 69.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.15 | 5.47 | 1.31 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.50 | 5.30 | 1.38 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Dafabet | 7.60 | 5.40 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 4.95 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17 | 5.36 | 1.33 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .