Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Probability | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 17.0% | 9.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.9% | 17.0% | 9.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat match preview
Al-Ahli Jeddah is favored to win against Al Khaleej Saihat, with a probability of 74% according to our model. The expected goals for Al-Ahli Jeddah stand at 2.51, while Al Khaleej Saihat is projected to score 0.81. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which occurs with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 52% likelihood of scoring.
In terms of recent form, Al-Ahli Jeddah has recorded two wins, one loss, and three losses in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Al Khaleej Saihat's recent performance shows one win, three draws, and two losses. Historically, Al-Ahli Jeddah has won both of their last two encounters against Al Khaleej Saihat, with no draws or wins for the latter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat attack and defence ratings
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 73.9% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 9.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 52.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 26.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 3-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat stats
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
WWLWLL |
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
WDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat season so far
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.