Al Kholood
vs
Al-Ettifaq
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ettifaq
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq
| Probability | Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 25.7% | 46.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 25.7% | 46.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ettifaq
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.29.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq match preview
Al Kholood faces Al-Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with a probability model indicating a 28% chance of victory for Al Kholood, while Al-Ettifaq holds a 47% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The model also suggests a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. Expected goals stand at 1.29 for Al Kholood and 1.73 for Al-Ettifaq.
In terms of recent form, Al Kholood has recorded three losses followed by a win and a draw, while Al-Ettifaq has had a mixed run with three draws, a win, and two losses. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Al-Ettifaq has emerged victorious on both occasions, indicating a potential advantage heading into this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq attack and defence ratings
Al Kholood
Al-Ettifaq
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 27.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Al-Ettifaq | 46.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 7.3% |
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq stats
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq recent form
| Al Kholood |
LLLWDW |
| Al-Ettifaq |
DDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq season so far
Al Kholood record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Al Kholood | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-28 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Kholood | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.