Al-Faisaly FC
vs
Al Kholood
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Faisaly FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood
| Probability | Al-Faisaly FC | Draw | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.6% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood match preview
Al-Faisaly FC faces Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with kickoff scheduled for October 15, 2026. According to our model, Al-Faisaly FC has a 36% probability of winning, while Al Kholood has a slightly lower 35% chance, and a draw stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Al-Faisaly FC, with a 9% likelihood. Expected goals are closely matched, with Al-Faisaly FC at 1.26 and Al Kholood at 1.24.
In terms of recent form, Al-Faisaly FC has struggled, recording three draws and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Al Kholood has shown some improvement, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same timeframe. Both teams have a 52% probability of scoring, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood attack and defence ratings
Al-Faisaly FC
Al Kholood
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 35.6% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Al Kholood | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Faisaly FC win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood stats
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood recent form
| Al-Faisaly FC |
LDDLDL |
| Al Kholood |
LLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood season so far
Al-Faisaly FC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al Kholood record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.