Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Al-Faisaly FC
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
1 – 3 Full time
| 28′ | Steven Bergwijn | ||
| 43′ | Youssef En-Nesyri | ||
| 45′ | Eid Al-MuwalladTheo Bongonda | ||
| 48′ | Hassan Kadesh | ||
| 59′ | Youssef En-Nesyri | ||
| 63′ | George IlenikhenaGeorginio Wijnaldum | ||
| 63′ | Richard Ríos MontoyaMukhtar Ali | ||
| 67′ | Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiHussain Al Zarie | ||
| 67′ | Christian BassogogAbdulaziz Al-Bishi | ||
| 72′ | Faris AbdiMuath Faquihi | ||
| 72′ | Youssef En-NesyriSaleh Al-Shehri | ||
| 80′ | Abdulrahman Al ShereafAyman Fallatah | ||
| 80′ | Jaime SeoaneSaud Thamer Haddad | ||
| 80′ | Steven BergwijnMarwan Al-Sahafi | ||
| 87′ | Theo Bongonda |
Al-Faisaly FC
21%
Draw
24%
Al-Ittihad FC
55%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 384 | Accurate passes | 468 |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Probability | Al-Faisaly FC | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 28.7% | 47.8% |
| Market | 20.2% | 22.5% | 57.3% |
| Final | 21.1% | 24.0% | 54.9% |
| Edge | +3.2% | +6.2% | -9.5% |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
Al-Faisaly FC
0.97
Al-Ittihad FC
1.48
Total expected goals: 2.45
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Faisaly FC
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Al-Ittihad FC
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: result vs prediction
Al-Faisaly FC 1 – 3 Al-Ittihad FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 54.9% | 1.82 | -9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 21.1% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 54.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC stats
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
| Al-Faisaly FC |
DDLDLL |
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC going into this match
Al-Faisaly FC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Al-Faisaly FC wins
2Draws
4Al-Ittihad FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-04 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup | 0-4 |
| 2022-01-21 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-27 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2021-02-23 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2020-11-23 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2020-08-19 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2019-12-14 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2019-03-29 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2018-12-06 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2018-05-12 | Al-Faisaly FC | Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.3%, draw 22.4%, away 56.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.56 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| 888Sport | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 4.15 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55 | 4.50 | 1.63 |
| SBO | 3.63 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| Superbet | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.74 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.53 ▲ +0.66
X
4.08 ▲ +0.08
2
1.60 ▼ -0.16
5 snapshots recorded, from .