Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Al-Hazm
3 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Ahmed Al-Nakhli | ||
| 21′ | Francisco Trincão | ||
| 32′ | Ivan Toney | ||
| 45′ | Ivan Toney | ||
| 45′ | Abdullah Al ShanqitiMory Konate | ||
| 45′ | Ahmed Al-ShamraniAmir Saâyoud | ||
| 46′ | Sultan Tanker | ||
| 63′ | Saud Al-RashidMohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami | ||
| 69′ | Francisco TrincãoFiras Al-Buraikan | ||
| 70′ | Wenderson GalenoMeshal Al Materai | ||
| 75′ | Saeed BaattiaMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef | ||
| 83′ | Elton AcolatseMohammed Al Hamdani | ||
| 83′ | Aboubacar·DiakiteWaleed Al-Shanqiti | ||
| 90′ | Eduard SpertsyanRayan Hamed Hamidou | ||
| 90′ | Zakaria HawsawiSaad Yaslam Balobaid |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
70%
Draw
18%
Al-Hazm
12%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 345 | Accurate passes | 329 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm
| Probability | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Al-Hazm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.1% | 25.5% | 20.4% |
| Market | 75.1% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
| Final | 69.9% | 18.2% | 11.9% |
| Edge | -21.0% | +9.7% | +11.3% |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm expected goals
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1.77
Al-Hazm
1.02
Total expected goals: 2.79
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm attack and defence ratings
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
1.45 +45%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Al-Hazm
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm: result vs prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 – 1 Al-Hazm
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 69.9% | 1.43 | -21.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 69.9% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Al-Hazm | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm stats
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm recent form
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
LWLLWW |
| Al-Hazm |
WDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm going into this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
2Draws
1Al-Hazm wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Al-Hazm | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-22 | Al-Hazm | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 0-4 |
| 2023-08-11 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-29 | Al-Hazm | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Division 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-18 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Hazm | Division 1 | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-19 | Al-Hazm | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-04 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2019-10-26 | Al-Hazm | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 16.3%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 6.70 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.90 | 10.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.30 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.81 | 9.99 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 4.61 | 6.66 |
| Superbet | 1.31 | 5.80 | 8.50 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.21 ▼ -0.08
X
5.75 ▲ +0.22
2
10.00 ▲ +1.84
6 snapshots recorded, from .