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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq

3 – 3 Full time

6′Meshal Al-Aeli
12′Julián Quiñones
15′Mateo Retegui
22′Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
26′Bersant Celina
33′Yasir Al-Shammari
45′Jehad ThakriYasir Al-Shahrani
45′Yasir Al-ShammariÁlvaro Medrán
45′Meshal Al-AeliMadallah Al-Olayan
58′Rayane MessiJordan Larsson
62′Musab Al-Juwayr
62′Khalid Al-GhannamMoussa Dembélé
64′Álvaro Medrán
64′Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatTurki Al-Ammar
64′Musab Al-JuwayrMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
78′Mateo ReteguiEyad Housa
81′Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
82′Ondrej DudaAbdalellah Hawsawi
84′Radhi Al Oteibi
85′Jordan Larsson
90′Nahitan NándezAbdulmalik Al-Jaber
90′Moussa Dembélé
90′Jack Hendry
90′Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani

Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, DammamReferee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain

Al-Qadisiyah FC 71%
Draw 17%
Al-Ettifaq 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
3 Corners 0
10 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
1 Saves 0
415 Accurate passes 349

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Qadisiyah FCDrawAl-Ettifaq
Model61.9%22.3%15.8%
Market74.4%14.9%10.8%
Final71.2%16.7%12.0%
Edge-12.5%+7.4%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Qadisiyah FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Qadisiyah F ↓ / Al-Ettifaq → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq expected goals

Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.08
Al-Ettifaq 0.97

Total expected goals: 3.05

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq attack and defence ratings

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Al-Ettifaq

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq: result vs prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 – 3 Al-Ettifaq

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Qadisiyah FC 71.2% 1.40 -12.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.0% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Qadisiyah FC win 39.1% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Qadisiyah FC71.2%
Draw16.7%
Al-Ettifaq12.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.0%
12 (either side)83.3%
X2 (draw or away)28.8%
Handicap -1Al-Qadisiyah FC win39.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss38.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-010.2%
2-19.9%

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq stats

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq recent form

newest first
Al-Qadisiyah FC WWWWLW
Al-Ettifaq DWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Qadisiyah FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Al-Ettifaq record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 1Draws 4Al-Ettifaq wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro League3-2
2026-02-23Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-EttifaqSaudi Arabia Pro League4-0
2025-04-05Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-EttifaqPro League1-1
2024-11-02Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FCPro League0-2
2021-04-10Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FCPro League1-3
2020-12-27Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-EttifaqPro League1-2
2019-03-28Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FCPro League3-2
2018-12-06Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-EttifaqPro League2-0
2018-02-21Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-EttifaqPro League1-2
2017-09-14Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FCPro League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.7%, draw 14.8%, away 10.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.22 6.90 9.80
888Sport 1.25 5.50 7.50
Bet365 1.22 6.00 8.00
BetVictor 1.22 5.75 9.00
Betano 1.29 6.20 8.75
Betfair 1.22 6.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.28 6.40 8.80
Marathonbet 1.20 6.20 8.80
Pinnacle 1.27 6.52 8.03
SBO 1.22 5.13 6.86
Superbet 1.28 6.40 8.30
Unibet 1.23 5.75 9.00
William Hill 1.25 5.50 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 ▼ -0.02
X 6.10 —
2 8.41 ▲ +0.11

5 snapshots recorded, from .