Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Al Khaleej Saihat
vs
Al-Nassr
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Nawaf Al-Sadi | ||
| 34′ | Mohammed Al-Khabrani | ||
| 43′ | Saad Fahad Al Nasser | ||
| 45′ | Omar Mascarell | ||
| 45′ | Abdullah Al-KhaibariMohamed Simakan | ||
| 61′ | Saleh Al AmriMansour Hamzi | ||
| 61′ | Nawaf Al-SadiFahad Ayed Al-Rashidi | ||
| 70′ | Saad Fahad Al NasserAbdullah Al-Hamdan | ||
| 72′ | Abdullah Al-Hamdan | ||
| 73′ | José Manuel Martins Teixeira Gomes | ||
| 74′ | Angelo Fulginimohammed bader munshi | ||
| 74′ | Saeed Al-HamsalFawaz Al-Sagour | ||
| 74′ | Majed Omar KanabahHussain Al Issa | ||
| 77′ | Mansour Hamzi | ||
| 84′ | Abdulelah Al-AmriMajed Qasheesh | ||
| 84′ | Angelo BorgesSami Al-Najei | ||
| 85′ | Samu Costa | ||
| 90′ | Sami Al-Najei | ||
| 90′ | Anthony Moris |
Al Khaleej Saihat
9%
Draw
16%
Al-Nassr
75%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 7 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 258 | Accurate passes | 440 |
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr
| Probability | Al Khaleej Saihat | Draw | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.6% | 14.5% | 78.9% |
| Market | 10.3% | 16.4% | 73.3% |
| Final | 9.4% | 15.9% | 74.7% |
| Edge | -3.7% | -1.9% | +5.6% |
Why Al-Nassr
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Nassr below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Nassr expected goals
Al Khaleej Saihat
0.71
Al-Nassr
2.74
Total expected goals: 3.45
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Nassr attack and defence ratings
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack
0.57 -43%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Al-Nassr
Attack
1.51 +51%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr: result vs prediction
Al Khaleej Saihat 1 – 1 Al-Nassr
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 74.7% | 1.34 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 9.4% |
| Draw | 15.9% | |
| Al-Nassr | 74.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 59.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 20.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.9% |
| 0-3 | 10.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.5% |
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr stats
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Nassr recent form
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
DLLDDD |
| Al-Nassr |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Nassr going into this match
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Al-Nassr record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Al Khaleej Saihat wins
1Draws
9Al-Nassr wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Nassr | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-5 |
| 2025-11-23 | Al-Nassr | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | Al-Nassr | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-21 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-01 | Al-Nassr | Al Khaleej Saihat | King's Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Al-Nassr | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-08 | Al-Nassr | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-31 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2017-02-04 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.6%, draw 16.3%, away 73.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.75 | 6.16 | 1.24 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 5.25 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 9.00 | 5.90 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 8.60 | 5.60 | 1.32 |
| Marathonbet | 8.90 | 5.60 | 1.22 |
| Pinnacle | 8.57 | 6.18 | 1.27 |
| SBO | 7.72 | 5.42 | 1.24 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.90 ▲ +0.30
X
5.60 ▲ +0.14
2
1.25 ▼ -0.05
8 snapshots recorded, from .