Al-Nassr
vs
Abha
2 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | C. Ronaldo | ||
| 58′ | A. Al Hamdan | ||
| 63′ | A. DarisiB. Al Mutairi | ||
| 63′ | S. Al JohaniK. Al Shamrani | ||
| 64′ | Bader Al Mutairi | ||
| 70′ | M. Al-ZaidN. Al Gulaymish | ||
| 75′ | N. Fekir | ||
| 76′ | S. Al NasserS. Al Najdi | ||
| 76′ | A. Al HamdanA. Yahya | ||
| 85′ | F. Al GhamdiB. Al Sayyali | ||
| 85′ | A. Al FahadK. Al Qahtani | ||
| 90′ | Al-NassrA. Al Amri |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 526 | Accurate passes | 236 |
Al-Nassr vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Nassr vs Abha
| Probability | Al-Nassr | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.5% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Market | 82.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Final | 81.8% | 11.7% | 6.5% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +3.1% | +1.3% |
Why Al-Nassr
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Nassr and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.76
Al-Nassr and Abha attack and defence ratings
Al-Nassr
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Nassr vs Abha: result vs prediction
Al-Nassr 2 – 1 Abha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh — match page
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM — team news & stats
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC
- Al-Hazm v Al Taawon — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha
- Al Kholood v Al Shabab — match page
- Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Nassr vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 81.8% | 1.22 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 81.8% |
| Draw | 11.7% | |
| Abha | 6.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 59.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 21.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.9% |
| 3-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Al-Nassr vs Abha stats
Al-Nassr and Abha recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Nassr and Abha going into this match
Al-Nassr record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Nassr vs Abha head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-02 | Abha | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-8 |
| 2023-10-06 | Al-Nassr | Abha | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Al-Nassr | Abha | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-14 | Al-Nassr | Abha | King's Cup | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-07 | Abha | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2022-02-26 | Al-Nassr | Abha | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-30 | Abha | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2021-02-28 | Al-Nassr | Abha | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-03 | Abha | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-10 | Abha | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Nassr vs Abha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.9%, draw 10.9%, away 6.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.14 | 7.25 | 18.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 10.70 | 18.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.11 | 8.50 | 13.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.16 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 9.50 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.13 | 9.20 | 17.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 8.80 | 14.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 10.70 | 15.02 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 7.05 | 10.60 |
| Superbet | 1.14 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| Unibet | 1.12 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| William Hill | 1.11 | 8.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .