Garuda Lions
Today
Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha

2 – 1 Full time

43′G. Ilenikhena
45′Jason Remeseiro
46′S. BergwijnM. Al Sahafi
59′Jan-Carlo Simić
62′J. SimicM. Al Shanqiti
62′A. Al GhamdiY. En Nesyri
66′Mohammed Al Baqawi
68′Y. En Nesyri
75′H. AouarM. Fagihy
81′A. Al HussainM. Al Abdulmanam
82′M. Al BaqawiR. Enad
86′G. IlenikhenaR. Kaabi
90′A. BamsaudT. Al Jaadi
90′P. OliveiraZ. Al Sahafi
90′Alfa SemedoM. Al Beshe

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah

Al-Ittihad FC 63%
Draw 21%
Al-Fayha 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
50 Possession % 50
4 Corners 2
12 Fouls 7
5 Offsides 2
3 Saves 5
407 Accurate passes 406

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Ittihad FCDrawAl-Fayha
Model48.5%26.0%25.5%
Market67.5%19.0%13.5%
Final62.7%20.8%16.5%
Edge-19.0%+7.0%+12.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Ittihad FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Ittihad FC ↓ / Al-Fayha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Fayha expected goals

Al-Ittihad FC 1.72
Al-Fayha 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.92

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Fayha attack and defence ratings

Al-Ittihad FC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Al-Fayha

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha: result vs prediction

Al-Ittihad FC 2 – 1 Al-Fayha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Ittihad FC 62.7% 1.59 -19.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.5% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.4% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Ittihad FC62.7%
Draw20.8%
Al-Fayha16.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.5%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)37.3%
Handicap -1Al-Ittihad FC win26.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss51.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.6%
1-08.2%

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha stats

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Fayha recent form

newest first
Al-Ittihad FC WDWWDL
Al-Fayha DWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Fayha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Ittihad FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Al-Fayha record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Al-Ittihad FC wins 4Draws 0Al-Fayha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-13Al-Ittihad FCAl-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro League2-1
2025-10-17Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2025-05-11Al-Ittihad FCAl-FayhaPro League3-0
2025-01-11Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCPro League1-1
2024-03-29Al-Ittihad FCAl-FayhaPro League3-1
2023-10-31Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCKing's Cup0-3
2023-09-29Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCPro League0-0
2023-05-27Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCPro League0-3
2023-03-13Al-FayhaAl-Ittihad FCKing's Cup1-1
2023-01-29Al-Ittihad FCAl-FayhaSuper Cup2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.5%, draw 19.0%, away 13.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.40 4.75 7.00
1xBet 1.35 5.19 7.28
888Sport 1.36 4.50 6.00
Bet365 1.36 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.60 6.50
Betano 1.42 5.10 6.90
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.39 5.20 7.00
Marathonbet 1.32 4.85 6.80
Pinnacle 1.40 5.15 6.77
SBO 1.34 4.60 6.38
Superbet 1.40 5.20 6.80
Unibet 1.35 4.80 6.40
William Hill 1.36 4.50 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.09
X 4.82 ▲ +0.19
2 6.80 ▲ +1.32

6 snapshots recorded, from .