Saudi Arabia Pro League · 2026-09-09T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah

1 – 2 Full time

3′			Abdulelah Al Khaibari
28′			Darwin Nuñez
35′			Faisal Abdulwahed
45′			Adrian Šemper
45′			Adil Boulbina
58′			Faisal AbdulwahedAli Al-Hassan
60′			Kennedy Boateng
71′			Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariSattam Tumbukti
71′			Mihai LixandruFahad Al Zubaidi
81′			Abdulelah Al-MalkiSultan Al-Farhan
81′			Darwin NuñezMeshari Fahad Al Nemer
86′			Kennedy BoatengZiyad Maher Al Jari
87′			Abdulelah Al KhaibariSaad Al-Shurafa
90′			Adil BoulbinaMohamed Hameran
90′			Clayton diandyHattan Bahebri
90′			Sultan Al-Farhan
90′			Enzo MillotHussain Al Qahtani

Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula, Al-HasaReferee: Majed Mohammed Al-Shamrani, Saudi Arabia

Al-Fateh

25%

Draw

28%

Al Diriyah

47%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	3
60	Possession %	40
5	Corners	4
8	Fouls	10
2	Offsides	1
2	Saves	3
423	Accurate passes	254

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Al-Fateh	Draw	Al Diriyah
Model	23.5%	38.6%	37.9%
Market	25.2%	24.9%	50.0%
Final	24.8%	28.3%	47.0%
Edge	-1.6%	+13.7%	-12.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Diriyah

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

77%

2+ goals

46%

3+ goals

19%

No goals

23%

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah expected goals

Al-Fateh

0.63

Al Diriyah

0.88

Total expected goals: 1.51

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah attack and defence ratings

Al-Fateh

Attack

0.52 -48%

Defence

0.74 -26%

Al Diriyah

Attack

0.85 -15%

Defence

0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah: result vs prediction

Al-Fateh 1 – 2 Al Diriyah

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh — match page · 2026-09-07
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM — team news & stats · 2026-09-07
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC · 2026-09-08
Al-Hazm v Al Taawon — match page · 2026-09-08
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats · 2026-09-08
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha · 2026-09-08
Al Kholood v Al Shabab — match page · 2026-09-09
Al-Nassr vs Abha · 2026-09-09

Before and after this match

Al-Fateh, previous: Al Taawon – Al-Fateh, 2026-09-05
Al-Fateh, next: NEOM vs Al-Fateh: odds and pick
Al Diriyah, previous: Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction
Al Diriyah, next: Al Diriyah vs Abha prediction

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Al Diriyah	47.0%	2.13	-12.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	80.6%	1.24	—	—
Both teams to score	No	71.3%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	75.2%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.2%	1.61	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Al-Fateh	24.8%
	Draw	28.3%
	Al Diriyah	47.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	19.4%
	Under 2.5	80.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	28.7%
	No	71.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	53.0%
	12 (either side)	71.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	75.2%
Handicap -1	Al Diriyah win	13.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.0%
	Loss	62.2%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	23.3%
	0-1	18.1%
	1-1	13.5%

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah stats

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah recent form

newest first

Al-Fateh	DDDLLD
Al Diriyah	LWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Fateh record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Al Diriyah record

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.2%, draw 24.9%, away 50.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	3.70	3.75	1.90
1xBet	3.80	3.82	1.84
888Sport	3.50	3.40	1.80
Bet365	3.60	3.70	1.83
BetVictor	3.60	3.70	1.80
Betano	3.75	3.85	1.91
Betfair	3.60	3.60	1.91
Dafabet	3.75	3.80	1.92
Marathonbet	3.66	3.68	1.77
Pinnacle	3.88	3.98	1.84
SBO	3.33	3.46	1.85
Superbet	3.75	3.80	1.92
Unibet	3.65	3.65	1.79
William Hill	3.50	3.40	1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.66 ▲ +0.30

X 3.70 ▲ +0.03

2 1.84 ▼ -0.09

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-06T08:10:02Z.