Al-Hilal Saudi FC
vs
NEOM
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | K. Koulibaly | ||
| 23′ | Sergej Milinković-Savić | ||
| 45′ | A. Hejji | ||
| 46′ | M. Al HarbiN. Al Dawsari | ||
| 46′ | H. TambaktiS. Mandash | ||
| 46′ | A. Al OyayariM. Al Burayk | ||
| 50′ | Mohamed Kanno | ||
| 58′ | Muhannad Al Saad | ||
| 60′ | Crysencio Summerville | ||
| 64′ | Mohammed Alburayk | ||
| 74′ | M. KannoM. Meite | ||
| 75′ | M. Al SaadH. Camara | ||
| 84′ | G. MartinelliS. Al Mutairi | ||
| 84′ | M. MahzariS. Dahal | ||
| 84′ | A. LacazetteV. Vada | ||
| 84′ | K. Al AbsiA. Al Anzi | ||
| 88′ | Amadou Koné | ||
| 90′ | A. HejjiI. Hawsawi |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 416 | Accurate passes | 222 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM
| Probability | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Draw | NEOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.1% | 20.5% | 9.4% |
| Market | 78.5% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
| Final | 76.4% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Edge | -8.4% | +6.3% | +2.1% |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and NEOM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and NEOM attack and defence ratings
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM: result vs prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 – 2 NEOM
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 76.4% | 1.31 | -8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 76.4% |
| Draw | 15.8% | |
| NEOM | 7.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 45.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 29.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 3-0 | 9.9% |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and NEOM recent form
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WWWWWW |
| NEOM |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and NEOM going into this match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
NEOM record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | NEOM | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-18 | NEOM | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.5%, draw 14.3%, away 7.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 6.25 | 15.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 6.19 | 12.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 6.60 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 5.55 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 5.69 | 20.12 |
| SBO | 1.17 | 6.09 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Unibet | 1.16 | 6.75 | 11.50 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .