Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Al Shabab
vs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 – 2 Full time
| 45′ | Mohammed Al-Thani | ||
| 46′ | D. PodenceA. Al Oboud | ||
| 53′ | S. Milinkovic-Savic | ||
| 63′ | A. Al AsmariA. Matuq | ||
| 68′ | S. MandashG. Martinelli | ||
| 76′ | Hassan Tambakti | ||
| 76′ | H. TambaktiN. Al Dawsari | ||
| 87′ | R. Neves | ||
| 88′ | C. SummervilleM. Al Hawsawi | ||
| 88′ | O. WatkinsM. Meite | ||
| 88′ | M. Al HarbiS. Dahal | ||
| 90′ | Mamadou Barry |
Al Shabab
10%
Draw
16%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
74%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 4 | Corners | 14 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 261 | Accurate passes | 435 |
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Probability | Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.5% | 13.0% | 80.5% |
| Market | 11.1% | 16.6% | 72.3% |
| Final | 10.0% | 15.7% | 74.4% |
| Edge | -4.6% | -3.6% | +8.2% |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Hilal Saudi FC below the model: +8.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
73%
No goals
3%
Al Shabab and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals
Al Shabab
0.81
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3.00
Total expected goals: 3.81
Al Shabab and Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack and defence ratings
Al Shabab
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Attack
1.70 +70%
Defence
0.55 -45%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: result vs prediction
Al Shabab 0 – 2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 74.4% | 1.34 | +8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shabab | 10.0% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 74.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 62.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 19.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.0% |
| 0-3 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats
Al Shabab and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form
| Al Shabab |
DDDLLW |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shabab and Al-Hilal Saudi FC going into this match
Al Shabab record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Al Shabab wins
2Draws
7Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Al Shabab | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 3-5 |
| 2025-10-31 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Al Shabab | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Al Shabab | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League | 3-4 |
| 2023-09-29 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-09 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | Arab Club Champions Cup | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-07 | Al Shabab | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-10 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-03 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Shabab | King's Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.1%, draw 16.7%, away 72.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.28 |
| 1xBet | 8.80 | 6.05 | 1.26 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 5.90 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 8.80 | 6.20 | 1.29 |
| Marathonbet | 8.10 | 5.55 | 1.24 |
| Pinnacle | 8.37 | 6.25 | 1.28 |
| SBO | 6.28 | 4.84 | 1.26 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 5.20 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.23 ▲ +0.75
X
5.53 ▲ +0.38
2
1.27 ▼ -0.06
6 snapshots recorded, from .