Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Al Riyadh
5 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | I. Toney | ||
| 43′ | E. Spertsyan | ||
| 45′ | Trincao | ||
| 46′ | F. Al JayzaniH. Al Shurafa | ||
| 47′ | Hussain Al-Shurafa | ||
| 60′ | Mohammed Al-Khaibari | ||
| 61′ | I. Toney | ||
| 62′ | A. BondarenkoZ. Al Johani | ||
| 69′ | L. AntunesM. H. Tambakti | ||
| 69′ | H. A. Bahri E.H. Al Raqwani | ||
| 75′ | V. AtanganaN. Masoud | ||
| 75′ | E. SpertsyanS. Abu Al Shamat | ||
| 75′ | GalenoF. Al Buraikan | ||
| 77′ | Saad Yaslam Balobaid | ||
| 81′ | T. OkouA. Al Tale | ||
| 83′ | S. BalobaidZ. Al Hawsawi | ||
| 85′ | Abdulilah Al Tale | ||
| 87′ | N. Masoud | ||
| 89′ | H. Al AliS. Matar |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 303 | Accurate passes | 217 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh
| Probability | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.7% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| Market | 72.6% | 17.0% | 10.4% |
| Final | 71.4% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +1.5% | +3.5% |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh attack and defence ratings
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh: result vs prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah 5 – 0 Al Riyadh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 71.4% | 1.40 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 71.4% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Al Riyadh | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | |
| 1-1 | 8.0% |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh stats
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh recent form
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
LLWWWW |
| Al Riyadh |
WDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh going into this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Al Riyadh record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | Al Riyadh | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Riyadh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Al Riyadh | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Riyadh | Pro League | 5-0 |
| 2024-04-25 | Al Riyadh | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Riyadh | Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Riyadh | Division 1 | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Al Riyadh | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Division 1 | 0-2 |
| 2019-01-05 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Riyadh | King's Cup | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.2%, draw 17.4%, away 11.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.10 | 8.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 5.96 | 9.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.40 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.45 | 8.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 6.19 | 8.70 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.52 | 5.70 |
| Superbet | 1.37 | 5.35 | 7.10 |
| Unibet | 1.27 | 5.20 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .