Garuda Lions
Today
Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

3 – 0 Full time

9′S. Milinkovic-Savic
11′Roger Ibañez
13′Mohamed Kader Meite
15′Crysencio Summerville
23′C. Summerville
30′A. LajamiH. Tambakti
45′Merih Demiral
45′Merih Demiral
45′Ivan Toney
45′Merih Demiral
46′M. MeiteO. Watkins
46′Z. Al JohaniR. Hamidou
46′M. SulaimanM. Abdulrahman
46′TrincaoF. Al Buraikan
48′Rayan Hamed
52′T. HernandezM. Al Harbi
82′GalenoM. Al Mutairi
86′O. Watkins
87′Z. Al HawsawiN. Masoud
89′S. MandashN. Al Habashi
89′C. SummervilleS. Dahal

Kingdom Arena, RiyadhReferee: Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 60%
Draw 22%
Al-Ahli Jeddah 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
56 Possession % 44
3 Corners 4
14 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
365 Accurate passes 268

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Hilal Saudi FCDrawAl-Ahli Jeddah
Model51.8%24.8%23.4%
Market62.1%20.9%17.0%
Final59.5%21.9%18.6%
Edge-10.3%+3.9%+6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Hilal Saudi ↓ / Al-Ahli Jeddah → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah expected goals

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.86
Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.05

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah attack and defence ratings

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Attack 1.67 +67%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: result vs prediction

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 – 0 Al-Ahli Jeddah

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 59.5% 1.68 -10.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.4% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.2% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Hilal Saudi FC59.5%
Draw21.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah18.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.4%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)40.5%
Handicap -1Al-Hilal Saudi FC win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss48.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.7%
2-08.2%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah stats

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form

newest first
Al-Hilal Saudi FC WWWWWD
Al-Ahli Jeddah LWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Hilal Saudi FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Al-Ahli Jeddah record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins 4Draws 2Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hilal Saudi FCKing's Cup1-1
2026-02-02Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro League0-0
2025-09-19Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hilal Saudi FCSaudi Arabia Pro League3-3
2025-04-29Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite1-3
2025-02-28Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahPro League2-3
2024-10-05Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League1-2
2024-08-13Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahSuper Cup1-1
2024-05-06Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League1-2
2023-10-27Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahPro League3-1
2022-03-18Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli JeddahPro League4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.1%, draw 20.9%, away 17.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.45 4.50 6.00
1xBet 1.50 4.57 5.50
Bet365 1.50 4.33 5.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.40 5.50
Betano 1.57 4.65 5.10
Betfair 1.47 4.33 6.00
Dafabet 1.48 4.80 6.00
Marathonbet 1.46 4.30 5.20
Pinnacle 1.51 4.65 5.59
SBO 1.44 4.22 5.13
Superbet 1.53 4.65 5.40
Unibet 1.53 4.10 4.80
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▼ -0.25
X 4.40 ▲ +0.40
2 5.40 ▲ +1.31

5 snapshots recorded, from .