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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh

1 – 1 Full time

Al Majma'ah Sport City, Al MajmaahReferee: Sami Ahmed Al-Jurays, Saudi Arabia

Al-Faisaly FC 39%
Draw 30%
Al-Fateh 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Faisaly FCDrawAl-Fateh
Model38.6%29.7%31.6%
Market———
Final38.6%29.7%31.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Faisaly FC ↓ / Al-Fateh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Fateh expected goals

Al-Faisaly FC 1.31
Al-Fateh 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.47

Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Fateh attack and defence ratings

Al-Faisaly FC

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Al-Fateh

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh: result vs prediction

Al-Faisaly FC 1 – 1 Al-Fateh

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Faisaly FC 38.6% 2.59 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.4% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Faisaly FC38.6%
Draw29.7%
Al-Fateh31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.7%
Under 2.555.3%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1Al-Faisaly FC win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss61.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-09.8%
0-09.8%

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh stats

Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Fateh recent form

newest first
Al-Faisaly FC LL
Al-Fateh LLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Fateh going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Faisaly FC record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Al-Fateh record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Al-Faisaly FC wins 3Draws 4Al-Fateh wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-03-17Al-Faisaly FCAl-FatehPro League1-0
2022-02-22Al-FatehAl-Faisaly FCPro League4-1
2021-04-10Al-Faisaly FCAl-FatehPro League2-3
2020-12-27Al-FatehAl-Faisaly FCPro League3-2
2020-02-15Al-FatehAl-Faisaly FCPro League2-2
2019-09-15Al-Faisaly FCAl-FatehPro League3-2
2019-04-05Al-Faisaly FCAl-FatehPro League1-1
2018-12-13Al-FatehAl-Faisaly FCPro League1-1
2018-03-10Al-Faisaly FCAl-FatehPro League0-2
2017-11-25Al-FatehAl-Faisaly FCPro League0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.