Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Al-Faisaly FC
3 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | M. Retegui | ||
| 12′ | A. Seck | ||
| 16′ | Mohammed Al-Shanqiti | ||
| 30′ | M. Abu Al Shamat | ||
| 51′ | Alexandre Mendy | ||
| 56′ | M. Al Shanqiti | ||
| 58′ | A. SubaytY. Barnawi | ||
| 65′ | Jaime Seoane | ||
| 74′ | A. Al ShereafA. Al Mhemaid | ||
| 74′ | T. BongondaY. Al Shammari | ||
| 80′ | C. Bonsu BaahT. Al Ammar | ||
| 80′ | M. ReteguiM. Al Qahtani | ||
| 82′ | C. BassogogA. Fallatah | ||
| 82′ | J. SeoaneA. Ella | ||
| 90′ | M. Al JuwayrE. Houssa |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
76%
Draw
16%
Al-Faisaly FC
9%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 465 | Accurate passes | 323 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
| Probability | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Draw | Al-Faisaly FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.8% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 75.8% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.71 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
3%
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC expected goals
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2.71
Al-Faisaly FC
0.86
Total expected goals: 3.57
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Attack
1.47 +47%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Al-Faisaly FC
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC: result vs prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 – 1 Al-Faisaly FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 75.8% |
| Draw | 15.6% | |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 8.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 55.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 24.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.3% |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC recent form
| Al-Qadisiyah FC |
WLWWWW |
| Al-Faisaly FC |
DLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC going into this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Al-Faisaly FC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.