Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Al-Ettifaq
vs
Al Diriyah
0 – 3 Full time
Al-Ettifaq
42%
Draw
29%
Al Diriyah
30%
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah
| Probability | Al-Ettifaq | Draw | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 28.6% | 29.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.5% | 28.6% | 29.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ettifaq
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Al-Ettifaq and Al Diriyah expected goals
Al-Ettifaq
1.43
Al Diriyah
1.18
Total expected goals: 2.60
Al-Ettifaq and Al Diriyah attack and defence ratings
Al-Ettifaq
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Al Diriyah
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah: result vs prediction
Al-Ettifaq 0 – 3 Al Diriyah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Al Riyadh vs NEOM
- Al-Fayha v Abha — match page
- Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC — team news & stats
- Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon
- Al Kholood v Al-Ahli Jeddah — match page
- Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC — team news & stats
- Al-Hazm v Al Shabab — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 41.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Al Diriyah | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah stats
Al-Ettifaq and Al Diriyah recent form
| Al-Ettifaq |
LWWDLW |
| Al Diriyah |
DWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ettifaq and Al Diriyah going into this match
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Al Diriyah record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.