Al-Fayha
vs
Abha
3 – 2 Full time
Al-Fayha vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Abha
| Probability | Al-Fayha | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 30.1% | 32.8% |
| Market | 42.7% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
| Final | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -5.6% | +1.9% | +3.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Fayha and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Al-Fayha and Abha attack and defence ratings
Al-Fayha
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Fayha vs Abha: result vs prediction
Al-Fayha 3 – 2 Abha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Fayha vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 41.3% | 2.42 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 41.3% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Abha | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Fayha win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
Al-Fayha vs Abha stats
Al-Fayha and Abha recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fayha and Abha going into this match
Al-Fayha record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Fayha vs Abha head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-25 | Al-Fayha | Abha | Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2023-08-28 | Abha | Al-Fayha | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-02 | Al-Fayha | Abha | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-16 | Abha | Al-Fayha | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2022-06-23 | Abha | Al-Fayha | Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-25 | Al-Fayha | Abha | Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-21 | Al-Fayha | Abha | King's Cup | 4-0 |
| 2020-03-11 | Al-Fayha | Abha | Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2019-10-20 | Abha | Al-Fayha | Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Fayha vs Abha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 28.2%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.34 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.22 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.46 | 3.21 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .