Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood

2 – 2 Full time

5′Hugo Moura
14′I. Kortajarena
51′N. Al HarthiR. Enad
57′F. Sakala
62′Mansour Camara
66′I. KortajarenaM. Sawan
78′C. da CostaA. Al Dawsari
80′A. BamsaudM. Al Dowaish
80′LazaroJason Remeseiro
84′Julien Domingues
88′J. Domingues
90′M. CamaraY. Madani

Al Majma'ah Sport City, Al MajmaahReferee: Sami Ahmed Al-Jurays, Saudi Arabia

Al-Fayha 32%
Draw 29%
Al Kholood 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
39 Possession % 61
3 Corners 7
12 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
290 Accurate passes 477

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-FayhaDrawAl Kholood
Model32.8%29.3%37.9%
Market32.0%28.9%39.1%
Final32.2%29.0%38.8%
Edge+0.8%+0.3%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Kholood

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Fayha ↓ / Al Kholood → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Al-Fayha and Al Kholood expected goals

Al-Fayha 1.21
Al Kholood 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.54

Al-Fayha and Al Kholood attack and defence ratings

Al-Fayha

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Al Kholood

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood: result vs prediction

Al-Fayha 2 – 2 Al Kholood

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Kholood 38.8% 2.58 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Fayha32.2%
Draw29.0%
Al Kholood38.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.9%
No47.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.2%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1Al Kholood win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-19.2%
0-09.2%

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood stats

Al-Fayha and Al Kholood recent form

newest first
Al-Fayha WDLLLL
Al Kholood WDWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Fayha and Al Kholood going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Fayha record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Al Kholood record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Al-Fayha wins 1Draws 2Al Kholood wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-30Al KholoodAl-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2026-01-03Al-FayhaAl KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro League0-5
2025-05-21Al KholoodAl-FayhaPro League2-0
2025-01-20Al-FayhaAl KholoodPro League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 28.9%, away 39.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.00 3.20 2.35
1xBet 3.00 3.20 2.37
Bet365 2.80 3.30 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 3.20 2.30
Betano 3.05 3.25 2.40
Betfair 2.80 3.25 2.40
Dafabet 2.95 3.30 2.43
Marathonbet 2.89 3.08 2.28
Pinnacle 3.10 3.28 2.37
SBO 2.38 2.87 2.48
Superbet 2.67 3.25 2.72
Unibet 2.70 3.05 2.48
William Hill 2.80 2.90 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▲ +0.27
X 3.20 ▲ +0.04
2 2.37 ▼ -0.25

8 snapshots recorded, from .