Saudi Arabia Pro League · 2026-09-04T16:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq

0 – 1 Full time

29′			Firas Al-Ghamdi
30′			Ondrej Duda
53′			Mohammed Al-Zaid
65′			N. FekirM. Y. Dawran M.
65′			M. Al AlaeliM. Al Olayan
65′			O. DudaR. Messi
74′			J. LarssonK. Al Ghannam
75′			M. Al-ZaidN. Al Gulaymish
79′			Abdulbaset Hindi
80′			D. Leon
90′			F. Al GhamdiB. Al Sayyali
90′			A. Al FahadF. Al Subiani
90′			K. Al QahtaniK. Boumedmed
90′			B. CelinaY. Al Shammari

Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, AbhaReferee: Mohammed Hassan Al-Shahrani, Saudi Arabia

Abha

32%

Draw

26%

Al-Ettifaq

42%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

9	Shots	8
0	Shots on target	1
40	Possession %	60
1	Corners	8
12	Fouls	15
3	Offsides	2
1	Saves	0
211	Accurate passes	354

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al-Ettifaq

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Abha	Draw	Al-Ettifaq
Model	28.4%	23.7%	47.9%
Market	33.0%	26.4%	40.6%
Final	31.9%	25.7%	42.4%
Edge	-4.6%	-2.7%	+7.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Ettifaq

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.48.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Al-Ettifaq below the model: +7.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

87%

3+ goals

67%

No goals

Abha and Al-Ettifaq expected goals

Abha

1.48

Al-Ettifaq

1.96

Total expected goals: 3.44

Abha and Al-Ettifaq attack and defence ratings

Abha

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

1.30 +30%

Al-Ettifaq

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq: result vs prediction

Abha 0 – 1 Al-Ettifaq

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Al-Fayha v Al Kholood — match page · 2026-09-03
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat — team news & stats · 2026-09-03
Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC · 2026-09-03
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 2026-09-04
Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Hazm — match page · 2026-09-05
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr · 2026-09-05

Before and after this match

Abha, previous: Al-Fayha – Abha, 2026-08-28
Abha, next: Al-Nassr vs Abha: odds and pick
Al-Ettifaq, previous: Al-Ettifaq v Al Diriyah analysis
Al-Ettifaq, next: Al-Ettifaq – Al-Faisaly FC, 2026-09-08

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Al-Ettifaq	42.4%	2.36	+7.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.9%	1.50	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	67.4%	1.48	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.3%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	52.1%	1.92	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Abha	31.9%
	Draw	25.7%
	Al-Ettifaq	42.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.9%
	Under 2.5	33.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	67.4%
	No	32.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	57.6%
	12 (either side)	74.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.1%
Handicap -1	Al-Ettifaq win	27.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.1%
	Loss	52.1%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.2%
	1-2	9.1%
	2-1	6.9%

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq stats

Abha and Al-Ettifaq recent form

newest first

Abha	LDLL
Al-Ettifaq	LLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Abha and Al-Ettifaq going into this match

league record before kick-off

Abha record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Ettifaq record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Abha wins 1Draws 5Al-Ettifaq wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2024-03-09	Al-Ettifaq	Abha	Pro League	3-0
2023-09-16	Abha	Al-Ettifaq	Pro League	1-3
2023-05-18	Abha	Al-Ettifaq	Pro League	2-1
2023-01-07	Al-Ettifaq	Abha	Pro League	2-1
2022-01-20	Al-Ettifaq	Abha	Pro League	1-2
2021-08-26	Abha	Al-Ettifaq	Pro League	1-1
2021-02-11	Al-Ettifaq	Abha	Pro League	4-1
2020-10-31	Abha	Al-Ettifaq	Pro League	3-2
2020-02-29	Al-Ettifaq	Abha	Pro League	4-1
2019-09-26	Abha	Al-Ettifaq	Pro League	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 26.4%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.85	3.55	2.30
1xBet	2.90	3.51	2.28
Bet365	2.75	3.50	2.15
BetVictor	2.75	3.40	2.25
Betano	2.92	3.55	2.35
Betfair	2.80	3.60	2.30
Dafabet	2.95	3.60	2.32
Marathonbet	2.78	3.40	2.19
Pinnacle	2.91	3.70	2.29
SBO	2.67	3.06	2.13
Superbet	2.95	3.50	2.35
Unibet	2.75	3.35	2.25
William Hill	2.75	3.25	2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▲ +0.03

X 3.50 ▲ +0.06

2 2.28 ▼ -0.10

5 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-02T08:10:02Z.