Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh

0 – 0 Full time

45′M. SaadaneZ. Al Jari
63′Younes El Bahraoui
63′M. Al KuwaykibiS. M. Al Aqel M.
66′Younes El Bahraoui
66′Younes El Bahraoui
72′A. HamdallahB. Al Arini
75′Faisal Al Abdulwahed
80′A. R. Al KhaibreBin Mahmoud
80′F. Al AbdulwahedS. Al Sharfa
82′Ashraf El Mahdioui
86′Zaydou Youssouf
87′M. LixandruA. Al Fawaz
87′W. KangaRamos Jefferson
90′P. GuiagonR. Al Tulayhi

Al-Taawoun Stadium, BuraidahReferee: Khalid Al-Ahmari, Saudi Arabia

Al Taawon 48%
Draw 27%
Al-Fateh 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
10 Corners 6
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 1
384 Accurate passes 274

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl TaawonDrawAl-Fateh
Model40.1%34.5%25.4%
Market50.7%24.7%24.7%
Final48.0%27.1%24.8%
Edge-10.6%+9.9%+0.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Taawon ↓ / Al-Fateh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 11% 1 15% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Al Taawon and Al-Fateh expected goals

Al Taawon 1.06
Al-Fateh 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.85

Al Taawon and Al-Fateh attack and defence ratings

Al Taawon

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Al-Fateh

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: result vs prediction

Al Taawon 0 – 0 Al-Fateh

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Taawon 48.0% 2.08 -10.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.7% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Taawon48.0%
Draw27.1%
Al-Fateh24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.3%
Under 2.571.7%
Both teams to scoreYes37.0%
No63.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.0%
Handicap -1Al Taawon win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.0%
1-015.4%
1-114.5%

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh stats

Al Taawon and Al-Fateh recent form

newest first
Al Taawon LDLDLD
Al-Fateh DDLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Taawon and Al-Fateh going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al Taawon record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Al-Fateh record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al Taawon wins 2Draws 3Al-Fateh wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06Al TaawonAl-FatehSaudi Arabia Pro League3-2
2025-11-07Al-FatehAl TaawonSaudi Arabia Pro League2-5
2025-03-01Al-FatehAl TaawonPro League1-2
2024-10-05Al TaawonAl-FatehPro League2-0
2023-12-23Al TaawonAl-FatehPro League1-3
2023-08-13Al-FatehAl TaawonPro League1-1
2023-02-09Al TaawonAl-FatehPro League1-2
2022-08-27Al-FatehAl TaawonPro League0-2
2022-03-04Al TaawonAl-FatehPro League1-1
2021-10-17Al-FatehAl TaawonPro League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.0%, draw 24.6%, away 24.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.75 4.00
1xBet 1.82 3.84 3.84
Bet365 1.80 3.60 3.60
BetVictor 1.80 3.70 3.70
Betano 1.85 3.85 4.05
Betfair 1.80 3.80 3.90
Dafabet 1.87 3.80 3.95
Marathonbet 1.76 3.70 3.70
Pinnacle 1.81 4.00 3.97
SBO 1.76 3.23 3.46
Unibet 1.88 3.50 3.45
William Hill 1.80 3.40 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.05
X 3.70 ▼ -0.10
2 3.70 ▼ -0.10

9 snapshots recorded, from .