Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Al-Fateh
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
0 – 0 Full time
Al-Fateh
28%
Draw
30%
Al-Ittihad FC
42%
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Probability | Al-Fateh | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.0% | 30.0% | 42.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.0% | 30.0% | 42.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
11%
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
Al-Fateh
1.05
Al-Ittihad FC
1.34
Total expected goals: 2.38
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Fateh
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Al-Ittihad FC
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC: result vs prediction
Al-Fateh 0 – 0 Al-Ittihad FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fateh | 28.0% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 42.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC stats
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
| Al-Fateh |
DLLDWL |
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC going into this match
Al-Fateh record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Al-Fateh wins
2Draws
7Al-Ittihad FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Fateh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2025-04-17 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 2-4 |
| 2023-09-21 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 1-5 |
| 2022-10-07 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-06 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 4-4 |
| 2021-12-20 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.