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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm

3 – 2 Full time

King Abdullah Sports City, JeddahReferee: Abdullah Al-Harbi, Saudi Arabia

Al-Ittihad FC 56%
Draw 23%
Al-Hazm 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Ittihad FCDrawAl-Hazm
Model38.7%28.8%32.5%
Market61.9%20.9%17.2%
Final56.1%22.9%21.0%
Edge-23.2%+8.0%+15.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Ittihad FC

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Ittihad FC ↓ / Al-Hazm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm expected goals

Al-Ittihad FC 1.36
Al-Hazm 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.60

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm attack and defence ratings

Al-Ittihad FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Al-Hazm

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm: result vs prediction

Al-Ittihad FC 3 – 2 Al-Hazm

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Ittihad FC 56.1% 1.78 -23.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.0% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.4% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Ittihad FC56.1%
Draw22.9%
Al-Hazm21.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.1%
Under 2.551.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.0%
No46.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.0%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)43.9%
Handicap -1Al-Ittihad FC win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss61.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-08.9%
0-08.7%

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm stats

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm recent form

newest first
Al-Ittihad FC WDLLWW
Al-Hazm LWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Ittihad FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Al-Hazm record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al-Ittihad FC wins 4Draws 1Al-Hazm wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Al-Ittihad FCAl-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro League1-0
2026-02-24Al-HazmAl-Ittihad FCSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2024-04-20Al-HazmAl-Ittihad FCPro League2-3
2023-10-26Al-Ittihad FCAl-HazmPro League2-2
2022-03-18Al-Ittihad FCAl-HazmPro League3-0
2021-10-28Al-HazmAl-Ittihad FCPro League0-1
2020-03-05Al-HazmAl-Ittihad FCPro League1-1
2019-10-04Al-Ittihad FCAl-HazmPro League1-2
2019-03-16Al-HazmAl-Ittihad FCPro League0-3
2018-12-02Al-Ittihad FCAl-HazmPro League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.9%, draw 20.9%, away 17.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 4.40 5.40
1xBet 1.50 4.50 5.60
Bet365 1.48 4.20 5.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.33 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.65 5.30
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.50
Dafabet 1.52 4.70 5.60
Marathonbet 1.44 4.33 5.40
Pinnacle 1.52 4.84 5.26
William Hill 1.44 4.00 4.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.