Abha
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 – 1 Full time
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Probability | Abha | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 27.8% | 29.7% |
| Market | 34.1% | 27.7% | 38.2% |
| Final | 36.2% | 27.7% | 36.1% |
| Edge | +8.4% | +0.1% | -8.5% |
Why Abha
- The market prices Abha below the model: +8.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat attack and defence ratings
Abha
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat: result vs prediction
Abha 1 – 1 Al Khaleej Saihat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 36.2% | 2.77 | +8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 36.2% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Abha win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat stats
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
| Abha |
LL |
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
DDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat going into this match
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-23 | Abha | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-11 | Abha | Al Khaleej Saihat | King's Cup | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-08 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Abha | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-31 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Abha | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2023-02-02 | Abha | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-15 | Abha | Al Khaleej Saihat | Division 1 | 2-2 |
| 2018-12-30 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Abha | Division 1 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 27.7%, away 38.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 3.38 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.63 | 3.26 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.51 | 2.48 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.35 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .