Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Abha
4 – 0 Full time
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha
| Probability | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.1% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Market | 77.0% | 14.7% | 8.4% |
| Final | 75.5% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Edge | -5.9% | +3.7% | +2.2% |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha attack and defence ratings
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha: result vs prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4 – 0 Abha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats
- Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah
- Al-Faisaly FC v NEOM — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — team news & stats
- Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq
- Al Kholood v Al Taawon — match page
- Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 75.5% | 1.32 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 75.5% |
| Draw | 15.6% | |
| Abha | 8.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 49.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 29.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 3-0 | 8.9% |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha stats
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha recent form
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
WWWWWW |
| Abha |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha going into this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.9%, draw 14.8%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.20 | 6.25 | 14.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 6.91 | 12.30 |
| 888Sport | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 6.40 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 6.15 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 7.21 | 9.72 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.61 | 8.68 |
| Superbet | 1.24 | 6.70 | 10.00 |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 5.60 | 9.50 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .