Al-Fateh
vs
Al-Ettifaq
0 – 1 Full time
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq
| Probability | Al-Fateh | Draw | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 26.7% | 48.6% |
| Market | 40.2% | 25.7% | 34.0% |
| Final | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.7% |
| Edge | -15.6% | +1.0% | +14.6% |
Why Al-Ettifaq
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Ettifaq below the model: +14.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Fateh and Al-Ettifaq expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Al-Fateh and Al-Ettifaq attack and defence ratings
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq: result vs prediction
Al-Fateh 0 – 1 Al-Ettifaq
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats
- Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah
- Al-Faisaly FC v NEOM — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — team news & stats
- Al Kholood v Al Taawon — match page
- Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab — team news & stats
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha
Before and after this match
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 37.7% | 2.65 | +14.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fateh | 36.4% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Al-Ettifaq | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq stats
Al-Fateh and Al-Ettifaq recent form
| Al-Fateh |
LDWLLD |
| Al-Ettifaq |
WDLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fateh and Al-Ettifaq going into this match
Al-Fateh record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Fateh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Al-Fateh | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 25.7%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.39 | 3.53 | 2.72 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.63 | 2.74 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.55 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.62 |