Al Kholood
vs
Al Taawon
3 – 2 Full time
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Kholood vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al Kholood | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.7% | 30.5% | 43.8% |
| Market | 31.7% | 27.6% | 40.7% |
| Final | 30.2% | 28.3% | 41.5% |
| Edge | -6.0% | +2.9% | +3.1% |
Why Al Taawon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al Taawon below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Kholood and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Al Kholood and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al Kholood
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon: result vs prediction
Al Kholood 3 – 2 Al Taawon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Taawon | 41.5% | 2.41 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 30.2% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Al Taawon | 41.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Taawon win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon stats
Al Kholood and Al Taawon recent form
| Al Kholood |
DDLDDD |
| Al Taawon |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Kholood and Al Taawon going into this match
Al Kholood record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Al Taawon | Al Kholood | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Al Kholood | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Kholood vs Al Taawon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 27.6%, away 40.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.91 | 3.34 | 2.35 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.22 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 3.39 | 2.41 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.20 |