Al Diriyah
vs
Al Kholood
1 – 1 Full time
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood
| Probability | Al Diriyah | Draw | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 30.6% | 23.3% |
| Market | 50.9% | 24.9% | 24.2% |
| Final | 49.7% | 26.3% | 24.0% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +5.7% | -0.9% |
Why Al Diriyah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.88.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood attack and defence ratings
Al Diriyah
Al Kholood
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood: result vs prediction
Al Diriyah 1 – 1 Al Kholood
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Diriyah | 49.7% | 2.01 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Diriyah | 49.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Al Kholood | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Diriyah win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood stats
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood recent form
| Al Diriyah |
WL |
| Al Kholood |
WDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood going into this match
Al Diriyah record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al Kholood record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 24.9%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.76 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.62 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.92 | 3.96 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.26 | 3.52 |
| Superbet | 1.82 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .