Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Al Kholood
vs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 – 1 Full time
Al Kholood
9%
Draw
20%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
71%
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Probability | Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.5% | 19.6% | 71.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 9.5% | 19.6% | 71.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
6%
Al Kholood and Al-Ahli Jeddah expected goals
Al Kholood
0.69
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2.19
Total expected goals: 2.88
Al Kholood and Al-Ahli Jeddah attack and defence ratings
Al Kholood
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
1.52 +52%
Defence
0.57 -43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: result vs prediction
Al Kholood 3 – 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 9.5% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 71.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 47.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 29.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 11.4% | |
| 0-3 | 9.8% |
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah stats
Al Kholood and Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form
| Al Kholood |
DWDDLD |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Kholood and Al-Ahli Jeddah going into this match
Al Kholood record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Al Kholood wins
0Draws
5Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Kholood | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Al Kholood | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Kholood | Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Al Kholood | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-07 | Al Kholood | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Division 1 | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-05 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Kholood | Division 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.