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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

1 – 5 Full time

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, DammamReferee: Istvan Kovacs, Romania

Al Khaleej Saihat 9%
Draw 16%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 74%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl Khaleej SaihatDrawAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Model6.8%16.4%76.9%
Market10.4%15.9%73.7%
Final9.5%16.1%74.5%
Edge-3.6%+0.4%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al-Hilal Saudi FC below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Khaleej Sai ↓ / Al-Hilal Saudi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 11% 12% 1 8% 9% 7% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 5%

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals

Al Khaleej Saihat 0.62
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.43

Total expected goals: 3.05

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack and defence ratings

Al Khaleej Saihat

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: result vs prediction

Al Khaleej Saihat 1 – 5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 74.5% 1.34 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 57.3% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.5% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Khaleej Saihat9.5%
Draw16.1%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC74.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Both teams to scoreYes42.7%
No57.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.5%
12 (either side)83.9%
X2 (draw or away)90.5%
Handicap -1Al-Hilal Saudi FC win54.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss23.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-214.0%
0-311.4%
0-110.8%

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form

newest first
Al Khaleej Saihat DDDLLL
Al-Hilal Saudi FC WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hilal Saudi FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al Khaleej Saihat record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al Khaleej Saihat wins 0Draws 9Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FCSaudi Arabia Pro League1-2
2025-12-26Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Khaleej SaihatSaudi Arabia Pro League3-2
2025-04-17Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Khaleej SaihatPro League3-0
2024-11-23Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League3-2
2024-04-05Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League1-4
2023-10-20Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Khaleej SaihatPro League1-0
2023-04-01Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Khaleej SaihatPro League2-0
2022-08-25Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League0-2
2017-02-16Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Khaleej SaihatPro League4-0
2016-10-20Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League1-6

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.4%, draw 15.9%, away 73.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 9.00 5.60 1.28
1xBet 9.40 6.31 1.24
Bet365 8.50 5.00 1.25
BetVictor 9.50 5.50 1.25
Betano 8.75 5.80 1.31
Betfair 10.50 6.00 1.22
Dafabet 9.20 6.00 1.29
Marathonbet 8.60 5.75 1.22
Pinnacle 8.30 6.19 1.25
Superbet 8.70 6.00 1.29
Unibet 9.00 5.50 1.24
William Hill 8.50 5.50 1.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 8.88 ▲ +0.38
X 5.78 ▼ -0.12
2 1.25 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .