Al-Nassr
vs
Al Taawon
2 – 1 Full time
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.2% | 17.1% | 9.7% |
| Market | 75.5% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
| Final | 74.9% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
Why Al-Nassr
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Nassr and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Al-Nassr and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon: result vs prediction
Al-Nassr 2 – 1 Al Taawon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Al Riyadh vs NEOM
- Al-Fayha v Abha — match page
- Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC — team news & stats
- Al Kholood v Al-Ahli Jeddah — match page
- Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC — team news & stats
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah
- Al-Hazm v Al Shabab — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 74.9% | 1.34 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 74.9% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Al Taawon | 9.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Nassr win | 52.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 3-0 | 9.2% |
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon stats
Al-Nassr and Al Taawon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Nassr and Al Taawon going into this match
Al-Nassr record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-5 |
| 2025-05-16 | Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-17 | Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-29 | Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | King's Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-14 | Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | Super Cup | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 1-4 |
| 2023-08-18 | Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2023-02-17 | Al-Nassr | Al Taawon | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Al Taawon | Al-Nassr | Pro League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.5%, draw 15.2%, away 9.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 6.84 | 11.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 6.20 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.60 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 6.10 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 6.46 | 9.47 |
| Superbet | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .