Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab

1 – 1 Full time

29′Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
48′R. B. Martinez Tobinson
54′Yacine Adli
62′D. PodenceA. Al Oboud
62′H. Al HammamiA. Matuq
65′E. AcolatseA. Sayoud
68′Dhari Al-Enezi
74′R. B. Martinez TobinsonA. Al Asmari
80′S. Al RashidA. Al Shamrani
81′A. Al DweheW. Al Shanqiti
81′S. BendebkaM. Al Hamdani
90′Dhari Al-Enezi
90′Dhari Al-Enezi
90′A. PululuJ. Ateeq
90′A. Pululu

Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar RassReferee: Abdullah Al-Kharbosh, Saudi Arabia

Al-Hazm 47%
Draw 25%
Al Shabab 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 8
15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
303 Accurate passes 374

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-HazmDrawAl Shabab
Model46.8%24.9%28.3%
Market———
Final46.8%24.9%28.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Hazm

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.38.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Hazm ↓ / Al Shabab → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Al-Hazm and Al Shabab expected goals

Al-Hazm 1.81
Al Shabab 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.19

Al-Hazm and Al Shabab attack and defence ratings

Al-Hazm

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Al Shabab

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab: result vs prediction

Al-Hazm 1 – 1 Al Shabab

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Hazm 46.8% 2.14 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Hazm46.8%
Draw24.9%
Al Shabab28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.7%
No36.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1Al-Hazm win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-27.1%

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab stats

Al-Hazm and Al Shabab recent form

newest first
Al-Hazm LLWWLD
Al Shabab DDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Hazm and Al Shabab going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Hazm record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.

Al Shabab record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Al-Hazm wins 0Draws 2Al Shabab wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-29Al-HazmAl ShababSaudi Arabia Pro League0-4
2025-09-12Al ShababAl-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.