NEOM
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | ||
| 35′ | Boubakar Kouyaté | ||
| 37′ | A. Lacazette | ||
| 39′ | M. Al Saad | ||
| 45′ | A. Kone | ||
| 46′ | M. Al BuraykA. Hejji | ||
| 46′ | M. KanabahA. Fulgini | ||
| 62′ | M. BarrowS. Al Amri | ||
| 63′ | A. Al OyayariK. Al Dawsari | ||
| 71′ | N. Al SaadiH. Al Eisa | ||
| 72′ | R. Al ShanqitiS. Al Hamsal | ||
| 81′ | M. CrespoM. Hamzi | ||
| 82′ | H. CamaraM. Abu Taha | ||
| 82′ | I. HawsawiF. Al Ghamdi | ||
| 86′ | Khalil Al-Absi | ||
| 88′ | K. Al AbsiA. Al Anzi | ||
| 90′ | Angelo Fulgini |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 428 | Accurate passes | 377 |
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Probability | NEOM | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.2% | 26.0% | 17.8% |
| Market | 54.0% | 24.8% | 21.2% |
| Final | 54.6% | 25.1% | 20.3% |
| Edge | +2.2% | +1.2% | -3.4% |
Why NEOM
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices NEOM below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat attack and defence ratings
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat: result vs prediction
NEOM 3 – 0 Al Khaleej Saihat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 54.6% | 1.83 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 54.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | NEOM win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat stats
NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
| NEOM |
LLWWDL |
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
LDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat going into this match
NEOM record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Al Khaleej Saihat | NEOM | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | NEOM | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 24.8%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.84 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.95 | 4.58 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.11 | 3.45 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .