NEOM
vs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0 – 2 Full time
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Probability | NEOM | Draw | Al-Qadisiyah FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 24.8% | 51.6% |
| Market | 19.1% | 21.9% | 59.1% |
| Final | 20.2% | 22.6% | 57.2% |
| Edge | +4.5% | +3.0% | -7.4% |
Why Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC attack and defence ratings
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: result vs prediction
NEOM 0 – 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 57.2% | 1.75 | -7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 20.2% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 57.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC stats
NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC recent form
| NEOM |
WWDLWD |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC going into this match
NEOM record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Al-Qadisiyah FC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | NEOM | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | NEOM | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.1%, draw 21.9%, away 59.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| 1xBet | 4.98 | 4.41 | 1.56 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 4.90 | 4.40 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.20 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| SBO | 4.30 | 3.86 | 1.58 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .