Al Kholood
vs
Al Shabab
2 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | R. B. Martinez Tobinson | ||
| 22′ | Mansour Camara | ||
| 22′ | Daniel Podence | ||
| 28′ | Dhari Al-Enezi | ||
| 30′ | I. Kortajarena | ||
| 41′ | Seydouba Cisse | ||
| 46′ | D. PodenceA. Matuq | ||
| 64′ | L. EssombaM. Sawan | ||
| 73′ | Iker Kortajarena | ||
| 78′ | D. Al AnaziA. Al Bulayhi | ||
| 78′ | H. Al HammamiM. Khadhari | ||
| 87′ | A. Al Dawsari | ||
| 90′ | Mohammed Al-Rashidi | ||
| 90′ | Tin Jedvaj | ||
| 90′ | C. da CostaS. Al Shehri | ||
| 90′ | A. Al DawsariM. Al Rashidi |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 352 | Accurate passes | 354 |
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
| Probability | Al Kholood | Draw | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| Market | 33.1% | 26.8% | 40.1% |
| Final | 37.0% | 26.6% | 36.5% |
| Edge | +15.5% | -0.9% | -14.6% |
Why Al Kholood
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al Kholood below the model: +15.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Kholood and Al Shabab expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Al Kholood and Al Shabab attack and defence ratings
Al Kholood
Al Shabab
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab: result vs prediction
Al Kholood 2 – 1 Al Shabab
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 37.0% | 2.70 | +15.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Kholood | 37.0% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Al Shabab | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Kholood win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab stats
Al Kholood and Al Shabab recent form
| Al Kholood |
DWDWDD |
| Al Shabab |
LDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Kholood and Al Shabab going into this match
Al Kholood record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Shabab record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Al Kholood | Al Shabab | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Al Shabab | Al Kholood | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-10 | Al Shabab | Al Kholood | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-07 | Al Kholood | Al Shabab | Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-24 | Al Kholood | Al Shabab | King's Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.8%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.83 | 3.44 | 2.35 |
| 888Sport | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.32 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.62 | 2.40 |
| SBO | 2.56 | 3.06 | 2.21 |
| Unibet | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .