Al-Ettifaq
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ettifaq
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Probability | Al-Ettifaq | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 23.3% | 14.9% |
| Market | 47.4% | 25.6% | 27.0% |
| Final | 51.0% | 25.0% | 24.0% |
| Edge | +14.3% | -2.3% | -12.1% |
Why Al-Ettifaq
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Ettifaq below the model: +14.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.01, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat match preview
Al-Ettifaq is favored in their upcoming match against Al Khaleej Saihat, with a 62% probability of winning compared to 15% for Al Khaleej Saihat. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 12% chance of occurring. Al-Ettifaq has an expected goals tally of 1.95, while Al Khaleej Saihat is at 0.86, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Al-Ettifaq recording two wins in their last six matches (D-D-W-L-L-W) and Al Khaleej Saihat struggling with three draws and three losses (D-D-L-L-D-D). The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 50%. The confidence grade for this match is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat attack and defence ratings
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 51.0% | 1.96 | +14.3% | 2.01 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 51.0% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win | 37.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat stats
Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
| Al-Ettifaq |
DDWLLW |
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
DDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat season so far
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-5 |
| 2026-01-12 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ettifaq | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-15 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ettifaq | Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-24 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-02 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ettifaq | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-25 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2017-04-08 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2016-11-19 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Ettifaq | Pro League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 25.6%, away 27.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.62 | 3.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.46 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.68 | 3.51 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.11 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .